← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Amabile
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 38% | 2.71 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Virtus Entella win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Virtus Entella +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Mauro Coppolaro · Virtus Entella |
| 9' | ⚽ (pen) | Samuele Longo · Venezia FC |
| 28' | 🟨 | Marco Modolo · Venezia FC |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 56' | 🟨 | Marco Firenze · Venezia FC |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Virtus Entella |
| 78' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Youssef Maleh · Venezia FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Matteo Mancosu · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 229.00 | 594.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1429.82 | 1468.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.76 | 23.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 59.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 27.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 72.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.71 | 26.74 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |