← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Feb 9, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.22 |
| Cosenza win | 22% | 4.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza +0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Benevento +0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Cosenza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Mario Prezioso · Cosenza |
| 33' | ⚽ | Roberto Insigne · Benevento |
| 39' | 🟨 | Pasquale Schiattarella · Benevento |
| 40' | 🟨 | Aníbal Capela · Cosenza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Nicholas Pierini · Cosenza |
| 53' | 🟥 | Massimo Volta · Benevento |
| 83' | 🟨 | Salvatore Monaco · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Caldirola · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 27 | Fouls | 12 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1165.00 | 253.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1418.54 | 1629.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.88 | 10.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.31 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.84 |
| league points | 20.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 0.91 | 2.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.38 | 30.60 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |