← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 8, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 42% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Spezia win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.51 |
| Over | 37% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Perugia |
| 30' | 🟨 | Leandro Greco · Perugia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Slobodan Rajković · Perugia |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Ricci · Spezia |
| 49' | 🟨 | Riccardo Marchizza · Spezia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Gyasi · Spezia |
| 60' | ⚽ | M'Bala Nzola · Spezia |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Federico Ricci · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 38.00 | 222.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1473.77 | 1507.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.17 | 27.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 33.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.48 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 24.35 |
| state index | -0.05 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |