← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Cremonese win | 18% | 5.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Crotone −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Samuel Armenteros · Crotone |
| 57' | 🟨 | Vittorio Parigini · Cremonese |
| 87' | ⚽ | Simy · Crotone |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Deli · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 434.00 | 38.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 1.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1512.34 | 1429.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.23 | -23.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| league points | 34.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 6.88 | 7.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.10 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 30.26 | 30.08 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.75 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |