← Serie B 2019 · Fri, Feb 7, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Juve Stabia win | 21% | 4.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Juve Stabia −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Nicholas Allievi · Juve Stabia |
| 10' | ⚽ | Gianluca Scamacca · Ascoli |
| 25' | 🟨 | Pasquale Fazio · Juve Stabia |
| 27' | 🟨 | Alfredo Bifulco · Juve Stabia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Andreaw Gravillon · Ascoli |
| 47' | 🟨 | Leonardo Morosini · Ascoli |
| 62' | ⚽ (pen) | Francesco Forte · Juve Stabia |
| 82' | ⚽ | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ivan Provedel · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 24 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 37.00 | 951.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1431.98 | 1359.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.04 | 23.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 53.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 30.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 6.25 | 5.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.09 | 26.96 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |