← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Feb 2, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 64% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 |
| Salernitana win | 13% | 8.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento −1 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Salernitana −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Paweł Jaroszyński · Salernitana |
| 23' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 27' | 🟨 | Christian Maggio · Benevento |
| 28' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 31' | 🟨 | Luca Caldirola · Benevento |
| 43' | 🟨 | Nicolas Viola · Benevento |
| 53' | ⚽ | Milan Đurić · Salernitana |
| 68' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 69' | ⚽ | Marco Sau · Benevento |
| 90' | 🟥 | Riccardo Improta · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 19 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 246.00 | 216.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1635.51 | 1434.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.49 | 43.48 |
| eye test v1 | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.64 |
| league points | 50.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 8.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.38 | 1.52 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 30.34 | 26.38 |
| state index | 1.02 | 0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.12 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |