← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 1, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 40% | 2.50 |
| Crotone win | 31% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Empoli −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Empoli |
| 20' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 34' | 🟨 | Domenico Maietta · Empoli |
| 39' | ⚽ | Giovanni Crociata · Crotone |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ahmad Benali · Crotone |
| 46' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Empoli |
| 61' | ⚽ | Liam Henderson · Empoli |
| 87' | 🟨 | Zak Ruggiero · Crotone |
| 88' | 🟨 | Filippo Bandinelli · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 31.00 | 427.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 2.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1510.26 | 1525.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.93 | 22.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| league points | 24.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 15.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 6.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.51 | 29.35 |
| state index | -0.50 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |