← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno win | 41% | 2.31 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Ascoli win | 28% | 3.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Livorno −0.25 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Marcello Trotta · Ascoli |
| 27' | 🟨 | Simone Padoin · Ascoli |
| 32' | 🟨 | Luca Ranieri · Ascoli |
| 34' | 🟨 | Matija Boben · Livorno |
| 47' | ⚽ | Leonardo Morosini · Ascoli |
| 88' | 🟨 | Andrea Luci · Livorno |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcello Trotta · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 0.00 | 31.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1341.49 | 1415.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.87 | -29.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| league points | 13.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.62 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.10 | 27.13 |
| state index | -1.20 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.60 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |