← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Feb 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani win | 39% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.02 |
| Cittadella win | 30% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Trapani −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 20' | 🟨 | Fausto Grillo · Trapani |
| 22' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 25' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 54' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 57' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jonathan Biabiany · Trapani |
| 81' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Trapani |
| 87' | ⚽ | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Trapani | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale |
| coach days | 62.00 | 1676.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1419.02 | 1491.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.89 | -20.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -0.33 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.67 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| league points | 19.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 34.00 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 0.90 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -2.34 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.24 | 28.67 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.69 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |