← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Jan 27, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Livorno win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Livorno −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Norbert Gyömbér · Perugia |
| 29' | ⚽ | Federico Melchiorri · Perugia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Livorno |
| 76' | 🟨 | Federico Viviani · Livorno |
| 78' | 🟨 | Marco Carraro · Perugia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mateo Pallecchi · Livorno |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 4 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 24 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 26.00 | 452.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1459.40 | 1346.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -23.15 | -17.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.11 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| league points | 27.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 9.13 | 9.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 0.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.11 | 25.14 |
| state index | -0.39 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |