β Serie B 2019 Β· Sun, Jan 26, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Trapani win | 24% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC β0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Trapani β0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | β½ | Mattia Aramu Β· Venezia FC |
| 41' | π¨ | Michele Fornasier Β· Trapani |
| 44' | π¨ | Mamadou Coulibaly Β· Trapani |
| 60' | π¨ | Adriano Montalto Β· Venezia FC |
| 60' | π¨ | Gregorio Luperini Β· Trapani |
| 74' | β½ | Stefano Pettinari Β· Trapani |
| 75' | π¨ | Michele Cremonesi Β· Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 16 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Trapani |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 209.00 | 56.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1426.92 | 1417.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.34 | -10.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| league points | 23.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 37.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 0.90 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | -1.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.23 | 25.84 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |