← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Jan 25, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Amabile
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 42% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 3.72 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Raúl Asencio · Cosenza |
| 18' | 🟨 | Andreas Karo · Salernitana |
| 26' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Rivière · Cosenza |
| 31' | ⚽ | Cristiano Lombardi · Salernitana |
| 44' | ⚽ | Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Salernitana |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro · Salernitana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 208.00 | 1150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1426.34 | 1433.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 47.12 | -1.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| league points | 29.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 4.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 27.80 |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |