β Serie B 2019 Β· Sun, Jan 19, 08:00 PM UTC Β· ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 74% | 1.32 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.25 |
| Pisa win | 8% | 13.00 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa β1.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Benevento β1.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.81 |
| Under | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | β½ | Massimo Coda Β· Benevento |
| 18' | β½ (og) | Alessandro Tuia Β· Pisa |
| 71' | π¨ | Massimo Volta Β· Benevento |
| 71' | π¨ | Danilo Soddimo Β· Pisa |
| 76' | π¨ | Pasquale Schiattarella Β· Benevento |
| 78' | π¨ | Nicholas Siega Β· Pisa |
| 85' | π¨ | Nicholas Siega Β· Pisa |
| 85' | π₯ | Nicholas Siega Β· Pisa |
| 89' | π¨ | Michael Fabbro Β· Pisa |
| 90' | π¨ | Christian Maggio Β· Benevento |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 232.00 | 597.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.21 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1634.26 | 1405.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.92 | -23.20 |
| eye test v1 | 1.30 | -0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.40 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.91 | 0.75 |
| league points | 46.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 21.13 | 21.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 2.42 | 1.26 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.14 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.55 | 28.22 |
| state index | 1.54 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.18 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.80 |