← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Jan 18, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Perugia win | 24% | 4.23 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Chievo |
| 34' | 🟨 | Boštjan Cesar · Chievo |
| 43' | 🟨 | Filip Đorđević · Chievo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Perugia |
| 60' | 🟨 | Diego Falcinelli · Perugia |
| 65' | 🟨 | Luca Garritano · Chievo |
| 89' | ⚽ | Damir Ceter · Chievo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Guglielmo Vicario · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Nicola Falasco · Perugia |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Riccardo Meggiorini · Chievo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 20 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 201.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1493.12 | 1470.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.72 | -14.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 26.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 20.23 | 20.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 24.48 |
| state index | -0.29 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |