← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Jan 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno win | 39% | 2.54 |
| Virtus Entella win | 31% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno +0 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Virtus Entella +0 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Murilo · Livorno |
| 12' | 🟨 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 21' | ⚽ | Sven Braken · Livorno |
| 23' | 🟨 | Murilo · Livorno |
| 32' | 🟨 | Andrea Settembrini · Virtus Entella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Nikita Contini · Virtus Entella |
| 42' | ⚽ (pen) | Michele Rocca · Livorno |
| 45' | 🟨 | Matija Boben · Livorno |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrea Schenetti · Virtus Entella |
| 51' | 🟨 | Andrea Luci · Livorno |
| 77' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Poli · Virtus Entella |
| 89' | 🟨 | Andrea Settembrini · Virtus Entella |
| 89' | 🟥 | Andrea Settembrini · Virtus Entella |
| 89' | ⚽ | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | 🟥 | Matteo Di Gennaro · Livorno |
| 90' | 🟥 | Andrea Schenetti · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 90' | ⚽ | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 443.00 | 566.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.40 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1345.19 | 1465.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.61 | 43.77 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| league points | 12.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 19.75 | 20.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 0.63 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -1.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 26.85 |
| state index | -1.17 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |