← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Jan 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 46% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.10 |
| Venezia FC win | 22% | 4.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 55% | 1.77 |
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Claiton · Cremonese |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Youssef Maleh · Venezia FC |
| 58' | 🟨 | Claiton · Cremonese |
| 58' | 🟥 | Claiton · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Piccolo · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 17.00 | 201.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.82 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1442.21 | 1424.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.77 | -10.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.59 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.53 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.69 |
| league points | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 29.39 | 25.53 |
| state index | -0.15 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.56 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |