← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Dec 29, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 52% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Livorno win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Livorno −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ (pen) | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 23' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 36' | 🟨 | Antonio Porcino · Livorno |
| 43' | 🟨 | Roberto Pirrello · Empoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tommaso Fantacci · Empoli |
| 72' | 🟨 | Jacopo Dezi · Empoli |
| 72' | 🟨 | Michele Rocca · Livorno |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jure Balkovec · Empoli |
| 88' | 🟨 | Federico Viviani · Livorno |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 24 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 58.00 | 423.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.73 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1531.52 | 1338.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -49.05 | -29.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.10 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.35 | 3.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 0.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 24.60 | 26.79 |
| state index | -0.65 | -1.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |