← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Dec 29, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 63% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Ascoli win | 13% | 7.56 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento −1 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Ascoli −1 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.82 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Alessio Da Cruz · Ascoli |
| 32' | 🟨 | Cristian Andreoni · Ascoli |
| 33' | ⚽ | Alessandro Tuia · Benevento |
| 51' | 🟨 | Alberto Gerbo · Ascoli |
| 54' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · Benevento |
| 62' | 🟨 | Luca Caldirola · Benevento |
| 65' | ⚽ | Marco Sau · Benevento |
| 75' | 🟨 | Andreaw Gravillon · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cristian Andreoni · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟥 | Cristian Andreoni · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marco Sau · Benevento |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marco Sau · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 12 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| coach days | 211.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1626.77 | 1445.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.18 | 7.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.97 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 43.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.13 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.39 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 29.79 | 26.74 |
| state index | 1.37 | -0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.96 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |