β Serie B 2019 Β· Sun, Dec 29, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cremonese win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone β0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cremonese β0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | β½ | Patrick Ciurria Β· Pordenone |
| 35' | π¨ | Alberto Almici Β· Pordenone |
| 35' | π¨ | Francesco Deli Β· Cremonese |
| 68' | π¨ | Davide Mazzocco Β· Pordenone |
| 71' | π¨ | Emanuele Terranova Β· Cremonese |
| 86' | π¨ | Matteo Bianchetti Β· Cremonese |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| venue | Dacia Arena |
| coach days | 682.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1507.67 | 1448.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.48 | -3.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| league points | 31.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.48 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.99 | 28.43 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.49 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |