← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Dec 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 50% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Venezia FC win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Mardochee Nzita · Perugia |
| 25' | 🟨 | Nicola Falasco · Perugia |
| 25' | ⚽ | Adriano Montalto · Venezia FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Venezia FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 44' | 🟨 | Alessandro Capello · Venezia FC |
| 52' | 🟨 | Youssef Maleh · Venezia FC |
| 61' | 🟥 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 63' | 🟨 | Adriano Montalto · Venezia FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟥 | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 25 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 607.00 | 181.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1484.58 | 1411.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.27 | -35.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | -0.46 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.58 | 1.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 24.47 | 26.13 |
| state index | 0.06 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |