← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Dec 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 55% | 1.77 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
| Virtus Entella win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ (og) | Domenico Frare · Virtus Entella |
| 22' | 🟨 | Andrea Schenetti · Virtus Entella |
| 28' | 🟨 | Andrea Paolucci · Virtus Entella |
| 36' | 🟨 | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mauro Coppolaro · Virtus Entella |
| 49' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 67' | ⚽ | Marco Chiosa · Virtus Entella |
| 84' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| Manuel De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 3.40 |
| coach days | 1642.00 | 546.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1518.53 | 1444.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.19 | 32.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.40 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| league points | 29.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 27.76 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -1.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |