← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Dec 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Maggioni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 65% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.26 |
| Trapani win | 12% | 8.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Trapani −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Crotone −1.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Michele Fornasier · Trapani |
| 34' | 🟨 | Simy · Crotone |
| 41' | 🟨 | Junior Messias · Crotone |
| 48' | ⚽ | Junior Messias · Crotone |
| 78' | ⚽ | Antonio Mazzotta · Crotone |
| 81' | 🟨 | Luca Pagliarulo · Trapani |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Simy · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 4 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Trapani |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 393.00 | 28.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1519.60 | 1412.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.75 | -12.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.31 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| league points | 28.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 41.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.29 | 26.52 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |