← Serie B 2019 · Thu, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Amabile
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno win | 42% | 2.31 |
| Pescara win | 29% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Livorno −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.94 |
| Under | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Cristian Galano · Pescara |
| 18' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Gonnelli · Livorno |
| 18' | 🟨 | Riccardo Maniero · Pescara |
| 23' | 🟨 | Matteo Ciofani · Pescara |
| 25' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Busellato · Pescara |
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Riccardo Maniero · Pescara |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mateo Pallecchi · Livorno |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ledian Memushaj · Pescara |
| 90' | 🟨 | Grigoris Kastanos · Pescara |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Pescara |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 420.00 | 178.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1351.68 | 1465.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.86 | -32.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 60.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.50 |
| league points | 11.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.65 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 1.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.98 | 28.67 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.21 | 1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |