← Serie B 2019 · Thu, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Juve Stabia win | 16% | 6.44 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.75 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Juve Stabia −0.75 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Alessandro Rossi · Juve Stabia |
| 2' | ⚽ | Francesco Forte · Juve Stabia |
| 3' | 🟨 | Bright Addae · Juve Stabia |
| 8' | ⚽ | Fabio Ceravolo · Cremonese |
| 81' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 86.00 | 908.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1453.62 | 1336.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.90 | 33.02 |
| eye test v1 | 0.54 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.75 |
| league points | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 28.77 | 28.19 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.91 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |