← Serie B 2019 · Thu, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 35% | 2.87 |
| Venezia FC win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.04 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cittadella +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 10' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 12' | 🟨 | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 17' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Cittadella |
| 18' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 20' | ⚽ | Christian D'Urso · Cittadella |
| 24' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 34' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 73' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 76' | ⚽ | Pietro Ceccaroni · Venezia FC |
| 80' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Venezia FC |
| 83' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 85' | 🟥 | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 178.00 | 1639.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1420.22 | 1509.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.53 | -10.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 19.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.45 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.49 | 27.17 |
| state index | -0.59 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |