← Serie B 2019 · Thu, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Crotone win | 22% | 4.45 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Antonio Mazzotta · Crotone |
| 33' | 🟨 | Simy · Crotone |
| 44' | ⚽ | Luca Paganini · Frosinone Calcio |
| 48' | 🟨 | Luka Krajnc · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 208.00 | 390.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1535.09 | 1507.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.40 | -29.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.54 |
| league points | 26.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 4.88 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.53 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.79 | 28.19 |
| state index | 0.67 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |