← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Dec 22, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Ascoli win | 24% | 4.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Pordenone −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.93 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Andreaw Gravillon · Ascoli |
| 22' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bassoli · Pordenone |
| 24' | 🟨 | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 33' | ⚽ | Salvatore Burrai · Pordenone |
| 37' | ⚽ | Luca Strizzolo · Pordenone |
| 58' | 🟨 | Tommaso Pobega · Pordenone |
| 71' | 🟥 | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 75' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 85' | 🟨 | Michele De Agostini · Pordenone |
| 90' | ⚽ | Michele Cavion · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Dacia Arena |
| coach days | 675.00 | 204.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.68 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1524.15 | 1444.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.39 | 5.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.55 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.69 |
| league points | 28.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.25 | 8.25 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.91 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.22 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |