← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 47% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 22% | 4.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Benevento −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Viola · Benevento |
| 33' | 🟨 | Mirko Gori · Frosinone Calcio |
| 55' | 🟨 | Francesco Zampano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 56' | 🟨 | Luca Paganini · Frosinone Calcio |
| 83' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 84' | 🟨 | Nicolas Haas · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Capuano · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 2 | On target | 0 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 20 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Benevento | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ciro Vigorito |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 203.00 | 203.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.96 | 3.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1612.02 | 1541.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.77 | 37.18 |
| eye test v1 | 1.13 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.47 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.86 |
| league points | 37.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 8.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.53 | 27.88 |
| state index | 1.27 | 0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.37 | -1.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |