← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 47% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Virtus Entella win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Perugia −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Virtus Entella |
| 35' | 🟨 | Filippo Sgarbi · Perugia |
| 39' | 🟨 | Michele Pellizzer · Virtus Entella |
| 61' | ⚽ | Christian Capone · Perugia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Diego Falcinelli · Perugia |
| 89' | 🟨 | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Giuseppe De Luca · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 599.00 | 538.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1473.18 | 1457.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.07 | 39.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.73 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 24.62 | 26.37 |
| state index | -0.52 | 0.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.86 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |