← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| Salernitana win | 23% | 4.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Empoli −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 26' | 🟨 | Samuele Ricci · Empoli |
| 38' | ⚽ | Cristiano Lombardi · Salernitana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andreas Karo · Salernitana |
| 45' | ⚽ | Antonino La Gumina · Empoli |
| 60' | 🟨 | Domenico Maietta · Empoli |
| 68' | 🟨 | Tommaso Fantacci · Empoli |
| 70' | 🟨 | Cristiano Lombardi · Salernitana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Frédéric Veseli · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 50.00 | 173.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1548.19 | 1391.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -52.36 | -16.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.02 | 25.95 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |