← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Minelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 59% | 1.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 |
| Livorno win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone −0.75 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Livorno −0.75 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Michel Morganella · Livorno |
| 12' | ⚽ | Manuel Marras · Livorno |
| 14' | 🟨 | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
| 23' | 🟨 | Gabriele Morelli · Livorno |
| 23' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Cuomo · Crotone |
| 25' | 🟨 | Giovanni Crociata · Crotone |
| 26' | ⚽ | Giovanni Crociata · Crotone |
| 36' | 🟨 | Simy · Crotone |
| 59' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Cuomo · Crotone |
| 72' | 🟨 | Sven Braken · Livorno |
| 81' | 🟨 | Antonio Mazzotta · Crotone |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 385.00 | 415.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1502.44 | 1356.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.90 | -30.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| league points | 22.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 5.75 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 0.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.83 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.35 | 26.51 |
| state index | -0.21 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |