← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Dec 15, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Salernitana win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Salernitana +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Mattia Mustacchio · Crotone |
| 14' | ⚽ | Vladimir Golemić · Crotone |
| 26' | 🟨 | Cristiano Lombardi · Salernitana |
| 29' | 🟥 | Vladimir Golemić · Crotone |
| 33' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Tacchio · Salernitana |
| 33' | 🟨 | Simy · Crotone |
| 46' | 🟨 | Andrea Barberis · Crotone |
| 52' | 🟨 | Paweł Jaroszyński · Salernitana |
| 64' | ⚽ | Lamin Jallow · Salernitana |
| 74' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 86' | ⚽ (og) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 26 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Crotone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| 90' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| coach days | 167.00 | 379.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1379.22 | 1514.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.97 | -25.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.91 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | -0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 65.60 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| league points | 19.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 8.25 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 1.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.74 | 29.25 |
| state index | -0.68 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |