β Serie B 2019 Β· Sun, Dec 15, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.02 |
| Pordenone win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone β0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cosenza β0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | β½ | Luca Strizzolo Β· Pordenone |
| 40' | β½ | Luca Strizzolo Β· Pordenone |
| 74' | β½ | Achraf Lazaar Β· Cosenza |
| 84' | π¨ | Michele Camporese Β· Pordenone |
| 88' | π¨ | Michele Camporese Β· Pordenone |
| 88' | π₯ | Michele Camporese Β· Pordenone |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 10 | Corners | 15 |
| 8 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | β |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 1109.00 | 668.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | β |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.92 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1435.15 | 1514.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.74 | 10.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | 0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 60.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | β |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| league points | 14.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 67.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 5.75 | 6.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -1.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.70 | 27.32 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | -2.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |