← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Dec 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Baroni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 43% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Perugia win | 24% | 4.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Perugia −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Claiton · Cremonese |
| 22' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Perugia |
| 23' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Cremonese |
| 62' | 🟨 | Claiton · Cremonese |
| 64' | 🟨 | Fabio Ceravolo · Cremonese |
| 65' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 76' | ⚽ | Antonio Piccolo · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Francesco Migliore · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 17 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 19 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 75.00 | 593.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1444.24 | 1482.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.27 | -7.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.22 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| league points | 17.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 7.88 | 5.75 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.52 | 23.91 |
| state index | -0.33 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | -0.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |