← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 14, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Livorno win | 27% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Benevento +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Livorno +0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Oliver Kragl · Benevento |
| 21' | 🟨 | Pasquale Schiattarella · Benevento |
| 22' | 🟨 | Oliver Kragl · Benevento |
| 23' | 🟨 | Michel Morganella · Livorno |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marco Sau · Benevento |
| 79' | 🟨 | Massimo Coda · Benevento |
| 85' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Gonnelli · Livorno |
| 85' | ⚽ | Gaetano Letizia · Benevento |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Benevento |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 408.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1364.22 | 1604.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.04 | 40.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.53 | 0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.10 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | 0.79 |
| league points | 11.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 7.13 | 7.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.73 | 2.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | -0.91 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 25.31 | 30.16 |
| state index | -0.60 | 1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -1.53 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |