← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 39% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Spezia win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Mastinu · Spezia |
| 21' | 🟨 | Giulio Maggiore · Spezia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Giulio Maggiore · Spezia |
| 66' | 🟥 | Giulio Maggiore · Spezia |
| 72' | 🟨 | DJ Buffonge · Spezia |
| 73' | 🟨 | Luca Fiordilino · Venezia FC |
| 81' | 🟨 | Simone Scuffet · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 6 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 166.00 | 166.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1438.26 | 1480.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.42 | 14.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 24.74 | 25.18 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |