← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Cittadella win | 34% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Cittadella +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 51' | ⚽ | Gianluca Scamacca · Ascoli |
| 55' | 🟨 | Luca Ghiringhelli · Cittadella |
| 58' | 🟨 | Petar Brlek · Ascoli |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marco Rosafio · Cittadella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Michele Troiano · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 196.00 | 1627.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1433.37 | 1522.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.28 | 18.18 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 62.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| league points | 21.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.68 | 28.17 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |