← Serie B 2019 · Mon, Dec 9, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia win | 45% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 18' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Perugia |
| 46' | ⚽ | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marco Carraro · Perugia |
| 66' | ⚽ | Nicola Falasco · Perugia |
| 67' | 🟨 | Pietro Perina · Cosenza |
| 69' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Rivière · Cosenza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 86' | 🟨 | Aleandro Rosi · Perugia |
| 90' | 🟥 | Vlad Dragomir · Perugia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Perugia | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renato Curi |
| coach days | 587.00 | 1103.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.86 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1485.72 | 1431.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.68 | -3.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 24.14 | 27.25 |
| state index | -0.17 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |