β Serie B 2019 Β· Sun, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Virtus Entella win | 30% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella β0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Pisa β0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | π¨ | Samuele Birindelli Β· Pisa |
| 22' | π¨ | Giuseppe De Luca Β· Virtus Entella |
| 28' | β½ | Giuseppe De Luca Β· Virtus Entella |
| 32' | π¨ | Mirko Eramo Β· Virtus Entella |
| 35' | π¨ | Manuel De Luca Β· Virtus Entella |
| 50' | π¨ | Andrea Settembrini Β· Virtus Entella |
| 72' | π¨ | Marco Toscano Β· Virtus Entella |
| 73' | π¨ | Nikita Contini Β· Virtus Entella |
| 80' | π¨ | Giuseppe De Luca Β· Virtus Entella |
| 80' | π₯ | Giuseppe De Luca Β· Virtus Entella |
| 82' | π¨ | Ramzi Aya Β· Pisa |
| 90' | β½ | Marco Toscano Β· Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 28 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 555.00 | 525.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1428.64 | 1421.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.12 | 3.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.56 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.40 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 5.75 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.23 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 28.52 | 26.64 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |