← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 45% | 2.22 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cremonese win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo −0.25 | 54% | 1.87 |
| Cremonese −0.25 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 21' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Cremonese |
| 38' | 🟨 | Joel Obi · Chievo |
| 48' | ⚽ | Giovanni Di Noia · Chievo |
| 68' | 🟨 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
| 75' | 🟨 | Vasile Mogoș · Cremonese |
| 76' | 🟨 | Vasile Mogoș · Cremonese |
| 76' | 🟥 | Vasile Mogoș · Cremonese |
| 86' | 🟨 | Luca Garritano · Chievo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Samuel Gustafson · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 159.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1507.84 | 1451.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.31 | -16.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 48.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| league points | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 6.13 | 7.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 25.30 | 29.39 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |