← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 45% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Livorno win | 25% | 3.95 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Livorno −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Antonino Ragusa · Spezia |
| 37' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Mastinu · Spezia |
| 57' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Gonnelli · Livorno |
| 57' | 🟨 | Davide Agazzi · Livorno |
| 65' | 🟨 | Antonino Ragusa · Spezia |
| 68' | 🟨 | Soufiane Bidaoui · Spezia |
| 74' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Mastinu · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 21 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 159.00 | 401.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1471.63 | 1372.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.03 | -12.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.60 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | — |
| league points | 16.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 0.79 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.82 | 25.80 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.19 | -0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |