← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 46% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Ascoli win | 26% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Moutir Chajia · Ascoli |
| 57' | ⚽ | Jure Balkovec · Empoli |
| 70' | 🟨 | Andreaw Gravillon · Ascoli |
| 82' | 🟨 | Filippo Bandinelli · Empoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonino La Gumina · Empoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Antonino La Gumina · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 36.00 | 189.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1560.85 | 1438.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -59.93 | 1.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.70 |
| league points | 18.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.17 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 25.57 | 26.38 |
| state index | -0.86 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.66 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |