← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Dec 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Salernitana win | 19% | 5.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Milan Đurić · Salernitana |
| 29' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 31' | ⚽ | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 40' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 40' | 🟨 | Cristiano Lombardi · Salernitana |
| 41' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 42' | ⚽ | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 50' | 🟨 | Fabio Maistro · Salernitana |
| 61' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 70' | ⚽ | Christian D'Urso · Cittadella |
| 78' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Paweł Jaroszyński · Salernitana |
| coach days | 1620.00 | 159.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1517.33 | 1384.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.62 | -23.54 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.57 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 69.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.72 |
| league points | 22.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.46 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.69 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 26.43 | 25.82 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |