← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 46% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Livorno win | 24% | 4.33 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Livorno −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Andrea Gasbarro · Livorno |
| 45' | 🟨 | Francesco Migliore · Cremonese |
| 48' | 🟨 | Emanuele Terranova · Cremonese |
| 49' | 🟨 | Fabio Mazzeo · Livorno |
| 61' | 🟨 | Mariano Arini · Cremonese |
| 66' | 🟨 | Filip Raičević · Livorno |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 60.00 | 394.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1454.97 | 1368.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.66 | -7.62 |
| eye test v1 | -0.08 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| league points | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.75 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 30.24 | 26.60 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |