← Serie B 2019 · Sat, Nov 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Crotone win | 53% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
| Cittadella win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.75 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Crotone −0.75 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.88 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · Cittadella |
| 32' | 🟨 | Amedeo Benedetti · Cittadella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Nicolás Spolli · Crotone |
| 47' | ⚽ | Luca Marrone · Crotone |
| 84' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · Crotone |
| 85' | 🟨 | Salvatore Molina · Crotone |
| 85' | 🟥 | Salvatore Molina · Crotone |
| 87' | ⚽ | Davide Luppi · Cittadella |
| 89' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Panico · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Crotone | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Ezio Scida |
| coach days | 364.00 | 1613.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.03 | 3.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1525.34 | 1515.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.46 | 18.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.93 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.83 |
| league points | 21.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.49 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 28.77 | 28.37 |
| state index | 0.12 | 0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |