← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Nov 24, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Spezia win | 32% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Spezia +0 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over | 40% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen · Spezia |
| 43' | 🟨 | Paolo Bartolomei · Spezia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 79' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sveinn Aron Guðjohnsen · Spezia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Luca Matarese · Frosinone Calcio |
| 89' | 🟨 | Mirko Gori · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Soufiane Bidaoui · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 146.00 | 176.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 2.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1455.93 | 1517.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.71 | 33.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | 0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.20 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.80 |
| league points | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 15.25 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.44 | 28.20 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -1.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |