← Serie B 2019 · Sun, Nov 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli win | 41% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cosenza win | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Ascoli −0.25 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Emmanuel Rivière · Cosenza |
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Mirko Bruccini · Cosenza |
| 38' | ⚽ | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 42' | 🟨 | Nikola Ninković · Ascoli |
| 44' | 🟨 | Davide Petrucci · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Angelo Corsi · Cosenza |
| 56' | 🟨 | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 71' | ⚽ | Gianluca Scamacca · Ascoli |
| 73' | 🟨 | Cristian Andreoni · Ascoli |
| 81' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 83' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
| 88' | ⚽ | Gianluca Scamacca · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gianluca Scamacca · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 14 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 176.00 | 1088.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1429.78 | 1441.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.13 | 28.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| league points | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 15.75 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | -0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.46 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |