β Serie B 2019 Β· Sat, Nov 23, 05:00 PM UTC Β· ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Venezia FC win | 19% | 5.51 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC β0.75 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Empoli β0.75 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | β½ | Leonardo Mancuso Β· Empoli |
| 63' | π¨ | Jacopo Dezi Β· Empoli |
| 77' | π¨ | Luca Fiordilino Β· Venezia FC |
| 86' | β½ (pen) | Mattia Aramu Β· Venezia FC |
| 90' | π¨ | Domenico Maietta Β· Empoli |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 22.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.99 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1585.85 | 1441.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.38 | 0.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.09 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| league points | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.41 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 26.61 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |