β Serie B 2019 Β· Sat, Nov 23, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno win | 54% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.99 |
| Trapani win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno β0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Trapani β0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | β½ | Stefano Pettinari Β· Trapani |
| 45' | β½ | Stefano Pettinari Β· Trapani |
| 48' | β½ | Fabio Mazzeo Β· Livorno |
| 63' | π¨ | Manuel Marras Β· Livorno |
| 65' | π¨ | Stefano Scognamillo Β· Trapani |
| 87' | π¨ | Salvatore Aloi Β· Trapani |
| 88' | π¨ | Marco Carnesecchi Β· Trapani |
| 90' | π¨ | Matija Boben Β· Livorno |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Livorno | Trapani |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| venue | Stadio Armando Picchi |
| coach days | 387.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1379.54 | 1414.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.56 | -13.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.12 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 49.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.69 |
| league points | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.60 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 0.83 | 0.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 26.03 | 28.41 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |