β Serie B 2019 Β· Sat, Nov 23, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 38% | 2.53 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.04 |
| Perugia win | 31% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Perugia β0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Pordenone β0.25 | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | π¨ | Davide Gavazzi Β· Pordenone |
| 44' | π¨ | Gianluca Di Chiara Β· Perugia |
| 55' | β½ | Davide Gavazzi Β· Pordenone |
| 62' | β½ | Patrick Ciurria Β· Pordenone |
| 67' | π¨ | Alberto Almici Β· Pordenone |
| 69' | π¨ | Nicola Falasco Β· Perugia |
| 87' | β½ | Davide Mazzocco Β· Pordenone |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 12 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Dacia Arena |
| coach days | 646.00 | 571.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | β | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1509.80 | 1485.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.56 | -14.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.90 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | β | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.58 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.06 | 25.58 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.63 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |